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Relational pattern of urbanization and economic development: Parameter re-evaluation of the Chenery model

機(jī)譯：Relational pattern of urbanization and economic development: parameter re-evaluation of the Chenery model

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Research has shown that there has been a significant change in the quantitative relationship between urbanization and economic development over the past 50 years. As a result of this change, the Chenery model is no longer capable of performing a comparative analysis of these parameters. We carried out a regression analysis of the normal form of the relation between urbanization and economic development on the basis of the Chenery model. We used empirical data from 149 countries and regions from 1990 to 2009 and adopted the double logarithmic model, introducing a time series variable for urbanization. From 1990 to 2009, with a per capita gross national income remaining between USD 1000 and 10,000, the urbanization rate changed from 17.78 to 60.36% and the relational matching data changed accordingly, although the upper limit of the rate of urbanization remained at about 75%. Urbanization in countries with a smaller population size was more affected by economic development than urbanization in countries with large and medium sized populations.
機(jī)譯：研究表明，過(guò)去50年中，城市化與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的定量關(guān)系發(fā)生了重大變化。由于此更改，Chenery模型不再能夠?qū)@些參數(shù)進(jìn)行比較分析。在Chenery模型的基礎(chǔ)上，我們對(duì)城市化與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間關(guān)系的正常形式進(jìn)行了回歸分析。我們使用了1990年至2009年來(lái)自149個(gè)國(guó)家和地區(qū)的經(jīng)驗(yàn)數(shù)據(jù)，并采用了雙對(duì)數(shù)模型，為城市化引入了時(shí)間序列變量。從1990年到2009年，人均國(guó)民總收入保持在1000到10000美元之間，盡管城市化率的上限保持在75％左右，但城市化率從17.78變?yōu)?0.36％，關(guān)系匹配數(shù)據(jù)也發(fā)生了變化。 。與人口大中型國(guó)家相比，人口較少?lài)?guó)家的城市化受經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的影響更大。

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